MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 12:10:38| >> :600:4001841:4001841:
Comoros national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Gambia national football team

Comoros
1 - 1
Gambia

FT(HT: 1-1)
Barrow (45+1')
Minteh (63'), Ceesay (64'), Darboe (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
All competitions
Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Comoros 1-2 Gambia

While the Comoros enter this match with slightly better form, Gambia have made significant strides forward in recent years and have a few big names arriving in Casablanca for these qualifiers. We are expecting a closing contested opening match here but fancy the Scorpions to come away with the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
ComorosDrawGambia
32.67% (-1.294 -1.29) 30.47% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.86% (1.296 1.3)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.36% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)66.64% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.98% (-0.057 -0.06)85.02% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.42% (-0.983 -0.98)37.58% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.64% (-0.977 -0.98)74.36% (0.98 0.98)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.818 0.82)34.67% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (0.857 0.86)71.4% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 32.67%
    Gambia 36.86%
    Draw 30.46%
ComorosDrawGambia
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 13.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 13.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.46%
0-1 @ 13.8% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Comoros vs Gambia

Comoros
34.7%
Draw
14.3%
Gambia
51.0%
49
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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