Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 24, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Mozambique

Diallo (49')
Diomande (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Witi (35'), Mandava (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Mozambique
Wednesday, December 24 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Cameroon
Sunday, December 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Mozambique

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Mozambique
Wednesday, December 24 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Gabon vs. Mozambique
Sunday, December 28 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.26% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.13%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%) , while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Mozambique
76.52% ( -0.1)	16.26% ( 0.04)	7.22% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 36.54% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

0.07)

47.89% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

0.06)

70.07% (

-0.06)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.01)

10.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.36% (

-0.02)

34.63% (

0.02)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.92% (

0.21)

59.08% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.82% (

0.11)

90.17% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 76.5%

Mozambique 7.22%

Draw 16.26%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Mozambique
2-0 @ 15.78% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 14.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 76.5%	1-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.26%	0-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 7.22%