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[monks data]
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Lens logo

Monaco
0 - 3
Lens


Pellegri (76'), Aguilar (89')
Disasi (23')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sylla (1'), Banza (33'), Kakuta (39')
Gradit (9'), Doucoure (11'), Banza (30'), Mauricio (80')

Preview: Monaco vs. Lens - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Monaco head into their Ligue 1 encounter with Lens on Wednesday night hoping to close the three-point gap between themselves and the top-four.

Lens, meanwhile, travel to the Stade Louis II having won their last two league matches on the road without conceding a goal.


Match preview

Monaco manager Niko Kovac pictured in September 2020© Reuters

After a run of four successive league wins, Monaco have since lost their last two matches to Lille and most recently to Marseille, both away from home by a 2-1 scoreline.

Wissam Ben Yedder gave Monaco hope of securing at least a draw after converting his spot-kick 11 minutes from time but Les Olympiens defended well enough to see out a narrow victory last Saturday.

Defeat against Marseille was Monaco's fifth loss away from home this season, which has seen Nico Kovac's men drop down to sixth in Ligue 1.

Monaco do however have a much better home record, as they are unbeaten at Stade Louis II in their first seven league matches – winning five and drawing the other two.

The last time Les Monegasques faced Lens was back in the 2014-15 season when they beat them both home and away by an aggregate score of 5-0.

Monaco's next five matches are against teams below them in the table and Kovac is hoping that his side can bounce back from their two recent defeats by putting together another good run of results, starting on Wednesday night, which could move them back into top-four contention.

Lens celebrate scoring against Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on September 10, 2020© Reuters

Despite their inconsistent form, Lens have adapted well to life back in the top-flight, having won six Ligue 1 matches so far this campaign.

The newly-promoted outfit currently sit in ninth place on 21 points from 13 matches played and are closer to the top four than the relegation zone.

Franck Haise's men have won, drawn and lost two in each of their last six matches, including a 3-2 defeat at home to Montpellier last weekend.

Lens, however, have surprised many this campaign and have thrived on their underdog status, not letting the magnitude of any big occasion affect them. The Sang et Or have already beaten both Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes so far this season and will head into Wednesday's fixture confident that they can claim all three points.

Haise's side could potentially find themselves as high as sixth with another impressive victory in Ligue 1.

Monaco Ligue 1 form: WWWWLL

Lens Ligue 1 form: DWDLWL


Team News

Monaco's Axel Disasi celebrates with teammates after scoring against Nice on November 8, 2020© Reuters

Monaco's Aleksandr Golovin (hamstring) and Djibril Sidibe (calf) are nearing a return to action, but neither are likely to feature on Wednesday.

Despite narrow losses to Lille and Marseille, Niko Kovac is unlikely to make wholesale changes to his starting XI.

Kovac will be hoping that key frontman Wissam Ben Yedder is fit enough to last 90 minutes as the striker has only recently returned having had coronavirus.

Lens duo Jonathan Gradit and Cheick Doucoure are back from suspension and are likely to start for the visitors.

Forward Ignatius Ganago, who has begun the last three matches on the bench, could be given a start ahead of Arnaud Kalimuendo.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Mannone; Aguilar, Disasi, Badiashile, Henrique; Martins, Fofana, Tchouameni, Diop; Ben Yedder, Volland

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Bade, Medina; Clauss, Cahuzac, Doucoure, Sylla; Kakuta; Sotoca, Ganago


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 2-1 Lens

Lens have proved throughout this season that they are capable of competing at this level. However, the Sang et Or face a Monaco side undefeated at home and who will be keen to ensure that they do not lose three matches on the bounce. We expect the home side to secure a narrow victory on Wednesday night.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for Lens had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Monaco vs Lens

Monaco
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Lens
0.0%
33
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Monaco manager Niko Kovac pictured in September 2020
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Saturday's Ligue 1 predictions including Marseille vs. Monaco
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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