Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.