Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 59.7%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.57%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.