Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 74.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.