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World Cup
Grenada national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Kirani James National Stadium
Costa Rica national football team

Grenada
0 - 3
Costa Rica


Patrick Gabriel (1'), Ettienne (73'), Harrack (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ugalde (9'), Zamora (34'), Taylor (70')
Calvo (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Grenada and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grenada

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-2 Grenada
Thursday, June 6 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Costa Rica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Grenada 1-3 Costa Rica

 There is a big difference between competing and winning, and for as well as Grenada have played at times when facing experienced CONCACAF opponents, they have lacked a killer instinct, which we believe will hurt them against a vastly improved Costa Rican side under Alfaro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
GrenadaDrawCosta Rica
17.75% (-0.512 -0.51) 19.43% (-0.304 -0.3) 62.83% (0.817 0.82)
Both teams to score 59.93% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.04% (0.566 0.57)34.96% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (0.628 0.63)56.94% (-0.628 -0.63)
Grenada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)32.93% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.225 -0.22)69.5% (0.226 0.23)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (0.378 0.38)10.66% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (0.836 0.84)34.53% (-0.835 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Grenada 17.75%
    Costa Rica 62.83%
    Draw 19.43%
GrenadaDrawCosta Rica
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-0 @ 3.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 17.75%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.29% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 6.56% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 4.08% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.67% (0.123 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.27% (0.051 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.83% (0.079 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.64% (0.079 0.08)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 62.83%

How you voted: Grenada vs Costa Rica

Grenada
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Costa Rica
77.8%
18
rhs 2.0
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