CONCACAF Nations League | League C

Mar 23, 2023 at 7pm UK

Saint Martin
1 - 3
Saint Kitts

Arne (31')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Williams (26'), Sawyers (35'), Panayiotou (89')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Martin and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions

Last Game: Saint Martin 0-1 Belize
Saturday, November 15 at 11pm in International Friendlies

Current League C Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Anguilla	0	0	0
2	Bonaire	0	0	0
3	Saint Martin	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

Last Game: Saint Kitts 2-6 Belize
Tuesday, November 18 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
12.54% ( -0.29)	17.89% ( 0.01)	69.56% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06% (

-0.8)

38.94% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74% (

-0.85)

61.26% (

0.85)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76% (

-0.98)

42.24% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36% (

-0.86)

78.64% (

0.86)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.9% (

-0.14)

10.1% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.75% (

-0.33)

33.25% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Saint Martin 12.54%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 69.56%

Draw 17.89%

Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.54%	1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.89%	0-2 @ 11.21% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.57% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 4.91% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.61% Total : 69.56%