Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 5.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.