Copa Sudamericana
Jun 28, 2023 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
  • Mauro Boselli 29' goal
  • Guido Carrillo 30' goal
  • Benjamin Rollheiser 62' goal
  • Eros Mancuso 90'+5' goal

Estudiantes vs Oriente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 1.00am
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Bragantino

Oriente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 11.00pm
Oriente 1 - 3 Tacuary

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 5.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result

Estudiantes 81.55% (+0.46)
Draw 13.27% (-0.41)
Oriente Petrolero 5.18% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.71% (+0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.02% (+1.63)
Under 2.5 42.98% (-1.63)
Over 3.5 34.61% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 65.39% (-1.59)
Over 4.5 17.98% (+1.17)
Under 4.5 82.02% (-1.17)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5 91.75% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 8.25% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 71.17% (+1.20)
Under 1.5 28.83% (-1.20)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 37.82% (+0.88)
Under 0.5 62.17% (-0.88)
Over 1.5 8.28% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 91.72% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 81.53%
Draw 13.27%
Oriente Petrolero 5.18%
Estudiantes
2-0 @ 15.96% (-0.40)
3-0 @ 13.27% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.64)
4-0 @ 8.28% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 7.59% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.31% (+0.18)
5-0 @ 4.13% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 3.94% (+0.20)
5-1 @ 1.97% (+0.15)
6-0 @ 1.72% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 81.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.38)
2-2 @ 1.8% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 13.27%
Oriente Petrolero
0-1 @ 2.44% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 5.18%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas
  • goal Leonardo Godoy 63'