MX23RW : Monday, February 3 18:34:34| >> :60:562:562:
Estudiantes
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Estudiantes
4 - 0
Tacuary

Piatti (63'), Nunez (71'), Mancuso (81'), Carrillo (90+4')
Andujar (43'), Godoy (44'), Guasone (45+1'), Carrillo (67')
Andujar (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (45+1'), Benitez (48'), Ruiz (67')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Tacuary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, April 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Tacuary

All competitions
Last Game: Tacuary 1-4 Bragantino
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 82.16%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.61%) and 3-0 (14.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.07%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawTacuary
82.16% (0.107 0.11) 13.37% (-0.067 -0.07) 4.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 29.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (0.111 0.11)46.92% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (0.105 0.11)69.17% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.01% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29% (0.128 0.13)30.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Tacuary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.63% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)67.37% (0.083999999999989 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.02% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)93.98% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 82.16%
    Tacuary 4.46%
    Draw 13.37%
EstudiantesDrawTacuary
2-0 @ 17.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 14.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 14.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 8.48% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
5-0 @ 4.08% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.64% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 82.16%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-1 @ 5.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.37%
0-1 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.46%

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