Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.