MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 02:36:02| >> :600:2630870:2630870:
Roma logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sampdoria logo

Roma
4 - 1
Sampdoria

Dovbyk (9', 19'), Baldanzi (24'), Shomurodov (79')
Pisilli (23')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Yepes (61')
Vulikic (51'), Borini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Serie B

We said: Roma 3-1 Sampdoria

Only victory will do for Roma, who are well behind Serie A's top seven and uncertain of progressing in the Europa League. The Coppa Italia could prove their only salvation in a dismal campaign, and they can surely see off Samp to book a quarter-final meeting with Milan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawSampdoria
58.03% (-0.386 -0.39) 22.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 19.76% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)15.1% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (-0.241 -0.24)43.64% (0.243 0.24)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (0.302 0.3)36.53% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (0.304 0.3)73.31% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Roma 58.02%
    Sampdoria 19.76%
    Draw 22.21%
RomaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.02%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.76%

How you voted: Roma vs Sampdoria

Roma
81.7%
Draw
14.1%
Sampdoria
4.2%
71
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
3-0
Sampdoria
Wijnaldum (57'), Dybala (88' pen.), El Shaarawy (90+4')
Oct 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sampdoria
0-1
Roma
Pellegrini (9' pen.)
Apr 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 31
Sampdoria
0-1
Roma

Bereszynski (46'), Sabiri (71')
Mkhitaryan (27')
Ibanez (9'), Oliveira (48'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Dec 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Sampdoria
Gabbiadini (80')
Bereszynski (44'), Falcone (60'), Askildsen (61')
May 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Sampdoria
2-0
Roma
Silva (45'), Jankto (65')

Kumbulla (24'), Cristante (32'), Mancini (70')
rhs 2.0
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