Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli1 - 0Roma
We said: Napoli 1-0 Roma
As Roma are in disarray, it might take Claudio Ranieri some time to turn things around; meanwhile, Napoli are already a well-oiled machine. After letting the chasing pack close within striking distance of top spot, the Partenopei should be ready to go again, resuming normal service with another home win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Roma |
51.35% ( -0.2) | 25% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( 0.13) | 51.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( 0.11) | 73.6% ( -0.11) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.03) | 20.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.51% ( -0.05) | 52.49% ( 0.04) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.24) | 36.8% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.41% ( 0.24) | 73.58% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 51.34%
Roma 23.65%
Draw 25%
| Napoli | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.34% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.65% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Roma
Napoli
80.3%Draw
13.4%Roma
6.3%127
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
2-2
Roma
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Roma
2-0
Napoli
Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-1
Roma
