Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana1 - 0Ternana
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Salernitana and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 2-0 Salernitana
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ternana 2-3 Frosinone
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Ternana |
26.64% ( 1.05) | 22.95% ( 0.1) | 50.4% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
