Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana3 - 3Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 2-2 Fiorentina
Salernitana are the draw specialists, with seven in their last nine games, and they should be able to extend that against a side with little left to play for in Serie A. With rotation expected, Italiano will hope to see some promising signs from his squad players ahead of an important and exciting few weeks for Fiorentina. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Fiorentina |
14.73% ( 1.3) | 19.89% ( 1.16) | 65.38% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
