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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana

With their patched-up squad and heavy workload, Roma are vulnerable to a buoyant Salernitana side - particularly as they lack sufficient firepower up front. The visitors do not tend to travel well, but on current form they can pick up a point at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSalernitana
69.41% (-0.142 -0.14) 19.86% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 10.72% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 39.77% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.067 -0.07)52.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.058 -0.06)73.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)13.93% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (-0.126 -0.13)41.39% (0.126 0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.21% (0.105 0.1)53.79% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.85% (0.064 0.06)87.15% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 69.41%
    Salernitana 10.72%
    Draw 19.86%
RomaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 14.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.71% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 69.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Roma vs Salernitana

Roma
69.9%
Draw
19.5%
Salernitana
10.6%
123
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Salernitana
0-1
Roma

Coulibaly (28'), Gyomber (39'), Kastanos (40')
Cristante (33')
Smalling (48'), Matic (72')
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
gameweek 32
Roma
2-1
Salernitana
Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')
Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Salernitana
0-4
Roma

Bonazzoli (35'), Aya (50')
Pellegrini (48', 79'), Veretout (52'), Abraham (69')
Perez (40'), Mkhitaryan (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Juventus115601971221
3Inter Milan1063124131121
4Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
5Fiorentina105412191219
6Lazio106132213919
7Udinese115151416-216
8Bologna103611211115
9AC Milan94231611514
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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