Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
69.41% ( -0.14) | 19.86% ( 0.06) | 10.72% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 39.77% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.07) | 52.07% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( -0.06) | 73.8% ( 0.06) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( -0.06) | 13.93% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( -0.13) | 41.39% ( 0.13) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.21% ( 0.1) | 53.79% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.85% ( 0.06) | 87.15% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 14.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 69.41% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.86% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
3 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
8 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
9 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |