Eredivisie Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Ajax
  • Pelle Clement 40' goal
  • goal Steven Berghuis 22'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 53'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 62'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 81'

RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 5.45pm
Sittard 0 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Michiel Kramer

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 7.00pm
Ajax 7 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

RKC Waalwijk 15.65% ▲ (+1.84)
Draw 17.53% ▲ (+1.52)
Ajax 66.82% ▼ (-3.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.5% ▼ (-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.37% ▼ (-3.56)
Under 2.5 29.62% ▲ (+3.56)
Over 3.5 49.26% ▼ (-4.44)
Under 3.5 50.73% ▲ (+4.44)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.87% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 31.68% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 68.32% ▲ (+0.24)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 91.74% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 0.5 8.26% ▲ (+1.55)
Over 1.5 71.14% ▼ (-4.02)
Under 1.5 28.86% ▲ (+4.02)

Score analysis

RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
Draw 17.53%
Ajax 66.82%
RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.50)
1-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.57)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.91)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.51)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.44)
1-3 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.18)
0-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.83)
1-4 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.58)
2-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.48)
2-4 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.35)
1-5 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.52)
0-5 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.44)
2-5 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.31)
3-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.14)
1-6 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.82%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Ajax
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
RKC Waalwijk
  • Lisandro Martinez 15' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Haller 33' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 37' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 53' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 90' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Michiel Kramer 50'
  • goal Richard van der Venne 57'
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 90'+2'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT
Ajax
  • Jurien Gaari 85' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastien Haller 17'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 42'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 57'
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 74'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
RKC Waalwijk
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • goal Sebastien Haller 14'
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 40'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Ajax
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
RKC Waalwijk
  • Dusan Tadic 10' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 29' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Labyad 34' goal
  • Lisandro Martinez 73' goal
  • redcard Luuk Wouters 68'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Ajax
Feb 16, 2020 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
RKC Waalwijk
  • Dusan Tadic 13' goal
  • Carel Eiting 50' yellowcard
  • Lassina Traore 52' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 90' goal
  • yellowcard Melle Meulensteen 76'
  • yellowcard Jurien Gaari 78'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
RKC Waalwijk
Oct 19, 2019 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)
Ajax
  • Said Bakari 63' goal
  • Stijn Spierings 79' yellowcard
  • goal Dusan Tadic 46'
  • goal Quincy Promes 76'

Form Data

Sittard 0 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Groningen 2 - 3 RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk 2 - 2 Sparta
RKC Waalwijk 5 - 1 Cambuur
PSV 1 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk 5 - 2 Excelsior
Ajax 7 - 1 Excelsior
Napoli 4 - 2 Ajax
Volendam 2 - 4 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 6 Napoli
Ajax 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
AZ 2 - 1 Ajax