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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 4
Ajax

Clement (40')
Gaari (2'), Oukili (18'), Adewoye (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Blind (43'), Grillitsch (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 15 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 Ajax

Ajax served up a reminder of how ruthless they can be in front of goal last time out, and while we do not expect them to put up similar numbers in this one, we are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
15.65% (1.831 1.83) 17.53% (1.515 1.52) 66.82% (-3.347 -3.35)
Both teams to score 62.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.37% (-3.553 -3.55)29.62% (3.551 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (-4.432 -4.43)50.73% (4.431 4.43)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.203 -0.2)31.87% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (-0.235 -0.24)68.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-1.55 -1.55)8.26% (1.549 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.14% (-4.02 -4.02)28.86% (4.02 4.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 15.65%
    Ajax 66.82%
    Draw 17.53%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.497 0.5)
1-0 @ 3.01% (0.566 0.57)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.181 0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.906 0.91)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.225 0.23)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.53%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.443 0.44)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 7.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 6.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.824 0.82)
1-4 @ 4.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 4.24% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-4 @ 2.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.511 -0.51)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.38% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Ajax
83.3%
60
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (10'), Labyad (34'), Martinez (73')
Kudus (29')

Wouters (68')
Feb 16, 2020 1.30pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (13' pen.), Traore (52'), Huntelaar (90')
Eiting (50')

Meulensteen (76'), Gaari (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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