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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 7 | 14 |
5 | FC Twente | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 6 | 18 | 18 |
2 | Feyenoord | 6 | 12 | 16 |
3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
26.96% ( -1) | 22.2% ( -0.18) | 50.84% ( 1.19) |
Both teams to score 63.22% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( 0.08) | 36.53% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( 0.09) | 58.68% ( -0.09) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.64) | 25.93% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.87) | 60.93% ( 0.87) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.43) | 14.64% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% ( 0.82) | 42.78% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.31% Total : 50.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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