Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior4 - 0Heracles
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heracles
There is little to choose between the sides and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
60.48% ( 6.85) | 19.84% ( -1.89) | 19.67% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
