MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 23:57:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
NEC

Excelsior
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Duijvestijn (23')
Horemans (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chery (60', 64'), Rober (90')
Ross (64'), Sano (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 NEC

 Clean sheets have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we are anticipating an open contest here. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
35.42% (0.115 0.12) 23.52% (0.224 0.22) 41.06% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.03% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.26% (-1.088 -1.09)38.74% (1.089 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-1.158 -1.16)61.04% (1.158 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)21.95% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.669 -0.67)55.23% (0.669 0.67)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)19.24% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.04% (-1.002 -1)50.96% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.42%
    NEC 41.06%
    Draw 23.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.214 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 41.06%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Nijmegen

SBV Excelsior
31.8%
Draw
25.8%
NEC
42.4%
66
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
3-4
Excelsior
Baas (36'), Hansen (44'), Ogawa (60')
Marques (83')
Agrafiotis (12'), Widell (53'), Omorowa (73'), Uddenas (90+10')
Seymor (84'), Baas (90+9')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Excelsior
0-3
Nijmegen
Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Excelsior
Dimata (59')
Lamprou (88')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
2-1
Nijmegen
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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