Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
Despite their poor run of form, Heracles have been showing the credentials to get something out of this contest. Nevertheless, AZ are also playing with the belief to edge a tight contest, and we expect that to materialise here.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41% . A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13% .
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%) , while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%) . The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood .
Result Heracles Draw AZ Alkmaar 21.13% ( 0.26) 21.45% ( -0.14) 57.41% ( -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0.9)
60.65% ( 1) 39.34% ( -1)
38.32% ( 1.04) 61.68% ( -1.03)
67.86% ( 0.82) 32.14% ( -0.82)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.38% ( 0.92) 68.62% ( -0.92)
86.48% ( 0.29) 13.52% ( -0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.42% ( 0.57) 40.58% ( -0.58)
Heracles 21.13%
AZ Alkmaar 57.41%
Draw 21.45%
Heracles Draw AZ Alkmaar 2-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.13% 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.41%
How you voted: Heracles vs AZ
46
rhs 2.0
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