MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:50:07| >> :120:39972:39972:
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofik Bakhramov
Molde logo

Qarabag
1 - 0
Molde

Andrade (55')
Jankovic (84'), Medina (87'), Romao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Breivik (20'), Ellingsen (34'), Andre Kaasa (47'), Eriksen (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 31 at 5pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Odd
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Molde

Molde lost all three of their away games in Champions League qualifying, and we think that trend could continue into Thursday's fixture when they face a Qarabag side who have avoided defeat in their last 12 UEFA home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawMolde
30.3% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 24.6%45.1% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.65% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 30.3%
    Molde 45.1%
    Draw 24.59%
Qarabag FKDrawMolde
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.1%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Molde

Qarabag FK
63.3%
Draw
16.7%
Molde
20.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2020 6pm
Third Qualifying Round
Qarabag
0-0
Molde
Molde win 6-5 on penalties
Medina (50'), Guerrier (67'), Andrade (86')
Hussain (83'), Hestad (89')
rhs 2.0
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