Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Qarabag1 - 1Ljubljana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-4 Celje
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Qarabag FK 2-2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (Qarabag FK to win 4-2 on aggregate)
Given that Ljubljana must throw everything at Qarabag on Thursday, we can see the visitors causing plenty of problems in Baku, but the hosts will likely advance thanks to their efforts in the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | NK Olimpija Ljubljana |
62.75% ( 0.01) | 20.91% ( -0) | 16.33% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.51% ( 0) | 44.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.14% ( 0) | 66.86% ( -0.01) |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( 0) | 13.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% ( 0.01) | 40.67% ( -0.01) |
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.63% ( -0) | 40.37% |