MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 23:01:33| >> :600:455785:455785:
Molde logo
Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
Galatasaray

Molde
2 - 3
Galatasaray

Ellingsen (8'), Haugen (56')
Mannsverk (39'), Haugan (80'), Breivik (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Oliveira (25'), Icardi (29'), Midtsjo (90+3')
Angelino (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Molde and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 0-0 Valerenga
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Trabzonspor
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Molde 0-3 Galatasaray

Molde may possess the formula for success at home domestically, but their defensive nous is unlikely to count for much against a Galatasaray side who know a thing or two about shutting out the opposition themselves. Even with Torreira on the naughty step and concerns lingering over Zaha's availability, Buruk's squad of esteemed international stars should stroll to a first-leg win with minimal fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawGalatasaray
47.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 29.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)63% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.53% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)48.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)26.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.010000000000005 0.01)61.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 47.06%
    Galatasaray 29.51%
    Draw 23.43%
MoldeDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.51%

How you voted: Molde vs Galatasaray

Molde
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Galatasaray
67.3%
162
rhs 2.0
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