We said: Leyton Orient 1-2 Derby County
Following a five-game winning streak in League One, Leyton Orient will not fear the arrival of Derby at Gaughan Group Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
However, we feel that the Rams will have enough quality on the pitch and in reserve to squeeze into the fourth round at the expense of the in-form O's.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.31%).