Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.47%).