FA Cup
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET Brisbane Road
  • Charlie Kelman 20' goal
  • Darren Pratley 43' yellowcard
  • Jamie Donley 74' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 113' redcard
  • goal Dajaune Brown 24'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 84'

Leyton Orient vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Derby County

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.47%).

Result

Leyton Orient 54.99% (-0.20)
Draw 25.25% (+0.27)
Derby County 19.77% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.87% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.34% (-1.02)
Under 2.5 56.66% (+1.03)
Over 3.5 22.38% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 77.63% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 9.74% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 90.26% (+0.51)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 79.38% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 20.62% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 46.82% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 53.18% (+0.78)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 56.53% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 43.47% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 20.31% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 79.69% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Leyton Orient 54.98%
Draw 25.25%
Derby County 19.77%
Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 14.15% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 11.17% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.25%
Derby County
0-1 @ 7.47% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.77%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • George Moncur 10' goal
  • Sonny Bradley 18' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 82' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ethan Galbraith 53'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Brisbane Road
  • Brandon Cooper 44' redcard
  • Idris El Mizouni 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 8'
  • goal Louie Sibley 34'
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 47'
  • goal Tom Barkhuizen 79'