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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Brisbane Road
Crawley Town

Leyton Orient
3 - 0
Crawley

Kelman (33'), Agyei (50'), Beckles (55')
O'Neill (76'), Pratley (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wollacott (25'), Roles (45+1'), Kelley (74'), Camara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 2-1 Crawley Town

With both teams having been in relatively good form of late, this should prove to be a competitive encounter. However, with an unbeaten run and longer recovery period in their favour, we have to back Orient to come through this game, potentially during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
56.1% (-0.132 -0.13) 22.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.98% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.14 0.14)46.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.132 0.13)68.46% (-0.137 -0.14)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.202 0.2)36.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.207 0.21)72.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.09%
    Crawley Town 20.98%
    Draw 22.92%
Leyton OrientDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 56.09%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.98%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crawley
0-2
Leyton Orient

Tunnicliffe (18'), Lynch (21'), Hutchinson (70'), Tilley (90'), Nadesan (90+3')
Archibald (8'), Drinan (90+5')
Mitchell (86')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crawley
Morris (62' og.)
Ogie (13'), Smith (32'), Clay (73'), Happe (82'), Wood (87'), Pratley (90+1')
Pratley (90+6')
Francomb (32'), Appiah (66')
Appiah (28'), Ferry (37'), Davies (51')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Crawley
0-4
Leyton Orient
Sotiriou (7', 59'), Happe (30'), Kemp (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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