MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:32:03| >> :60:2453:2453:
Austria national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Italy national football team

Austria
2 - 0
Italy

Schlager (6'), Alaba (35')
Seiwald (12'), Posch (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chiesa (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's international friendly between Austria and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Austria
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 1-3 Italy
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 0-1 Italy

 Despite the mercurial presence of Serie A star Arnautovic, Austria have struggled to score of late - finding the net just four times in their last six matches. As a few tweaks to the Azzurri's formation and personnel seem to be paying dividends, Italy can finish a largely dismal 2022 with victory in Vienna. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Austria had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
AustriaDrawItaly
26.93% (-2.609 -2.61) 24.08% (-0.769 -0.77) 48.98% (3.373 3.37)
Both teams to score 56.55% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (1.721 1.72)45.32% (-1.723 -1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (1.623 1.62)67.66% (-1.627 -1.63)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-1.013 -1.01)30.53% (1.01 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-1.221 -1.22)66.75% (1.217 1.22)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (2.09 2.09)18.59% (-2.093 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13% (3.404 3.4)49.87% (-3.407 -3.41)
Score Analysis
    Austria 26.93%
    Italy 48.98%
    Draw 24.08%
AustriaDrawItaly
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.716 -0.72)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.268 -0.27)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.93%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 8.03% (0.453 0.45)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.487 0.49)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.523 0.52)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.207 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.335 0.34)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.326 0.33)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: Austria vs Italy

Austria
11.3%
Draw
10.4%
Italy
78.3%
106
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2021 8pm
Italy
2-1
Austria
Chiesa (95'), Pessina (105')
Di Lorenzo (50'), Barella (51')
Kalajdzic (114')
Arnautovic (2'), Hinteregger (103'), Dragovic (120+1')
rhs 2.0
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