MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:41:49| >> :120:52941:52941:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Austria national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Croatia national football team

Austria
1 - 3
Croatia

Baumgartner (9')
Sabitzer (52'), Posch (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Modric (6'), Livaja (69'), Lovren (72')
Perisic (47'), Lovren (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 2-0 Austria
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Croatia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Croatia 2-1 Denmark
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Austria 0-2 Croatia

 With two integral cogs in Alaba and Arnautovic potentially sitting this one out - or thrown into the action when not fully fit - the writing may be on the wall for an Austria side already lacking in confidence. Croatia may have been humbled by Das Team only three months ago, but the Chequered Ones have upped their defensive game and should seal a spot in the Finals while simultaneously condemning Austria to life back in League B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawCroatia
42.22% (0.122 0.12) 24.73% (-0.107 -0.11) 33.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.374 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (0.491 0.49)45.04% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (0.473 0.47)67.39% (-0.47 -0.47)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.26600000000001 0.27)21.38% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.41 0.41)54.36% (-0.41 -0.41)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.22799999999999 0.23)26.24% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (0.306 0.31)61.34% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Austria 42.22%
    Croatia 33.06%
    Draw 24.72%
AustriaDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.22%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 33.06%

How you voted: Austria vs Croatia

Austria
20.1%
Draw
8.5%
Croatia
71.4%
224
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 7.45pm
League A1
Croatia
0-3
Austria

Caleta-Car (74')
Arnautovic (41'), Gregoritsch (54'), Sabitzer (57')
Schlager (30')
rhs 2.0
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