Reaction
Gareth Southgate insists England are heading in right direction
Gareth Southgate insists that England are heading in the right direction despite being relegated from League A of the UEFA Nations League.
3 years ago
Harry Maguire defends continued England selection
Manchester United defender Harry Maguire defends Gareth Southgate's decision to include him in the England starting lineup.
3 years ago
England experiencing worst run of form since 1992 and longest drought since 2000
Italy's 1-0 UEFA Nations League win over England ensures the Three Lions are now experiencing their worst run of form since 1992.
3 years ago
England suffer Nations League relegation after Italy defeat
England are relegated to League B in the UEFA Nations League after succumbing to a 1-0 defeat to Italy in a drab affair at San Siro.
3 years ago
The Match
Team News
West Ham United striker Gianluca Scamacca is named in Italy's starting lineup to face England at San Siro in their UEFA Nations League clash on Friday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Italy and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Friday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 5-2 Italy
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Germany | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | England | 4 | -5 | 2 |
We said: Italy 1-1 England
Both Italy and England are a far cry from where they were at Euro 2020, so Southgate and Mancini ought to feel that their opposite number is there for the taking this week, and the hosts can play with the handbrake off given their lack of World Cup commitments. The Three Lions will likely be forced to pack their bags and prepare for life in League B should they fail to win at San Siro, but an out-of-sorts Azzurri are still a force to be reckoned with on home soil, and we can only envisage this one ending level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for England had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Italy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | England |
42.71% ( -0.04) | 26.19% ( -0.06) | 31.1% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( 0.28) | 52.01% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( 0.24) | 73.75% ( -0.24) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( 0.11) | 24.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.53% ( 0.15) | 58.47% ( -0.15) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.21) | 30.96% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.24) | 67.26% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 42.71%
England 31.1%
Draw 26.18%
| Italy | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 31.1% |
How you voted: Italy vs England
Italy
38.0%Draw
23.1%England
38.9%637
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A3
England
0-0
Italy
Mar 27, 2020 8pm
Mar 27, 2018 8pm
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Brentford's Ivan Toney left out of England squad for Italy clash
Ivan Toney is left out of the England squad for Friday's Nations League clash with Italy alongside Ben Chilwell, Marc Guehi, Jordan Henderson and the banned John Stones.
3 years ago
Harry Maguire 'set to start for England against Italy'
Manchester United captain Harry Maguire is set to start for England in Friday's UEFA Nations League clash against Italy at San Siro, according to a report.
3 years ago
How England could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Friday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
3 years ago
How Italy could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
3 years ago
Jordan Henderson replaces Kalvin Phillips in England squad
England boss Gareth Southgate calls up Liverpool midfielder Jordan Henderson as a replacement for the injured Kalvin Phillips ahead of their UEFA Nations League double-header.
3 years ago
Leeds United's Wilfried Gnonto named in Italy squad for Nations League
Leeds United's 18-year-old forward Wilfried Gnonto is called up to Roberto Mancini's 29-man Italy squad ahead of this month's Nations League fixtures against England and Hungary.
3 years ago
