Reaction
Gareth Southgate insists England are heading in right direction
Gareth Southgate insists that England are heading in the right direction despite being relegated from League A of the UEFA Nations League.
Sep 24, 17:25
Harry Maguire defends continued England selection
Manchester United defender Harry Maguire defends Gareth Southgate's decision to include him in the England starting lineup.
Sep 24, 13:52
England experiencing worst run of form since 1992 and longest drought since 2000
Italy's 1-0 UEFA Nations League win over England ensures the Three Lions are now experiencing their worst run of form since 1992.
Sep 23, 23:14
England suffer Nations League relegation after Italy defeat
England are relegated to League B in the UEFA Nations League after succumbing to a 1-0 defeat to Italy in a drab affair at San Siro.
Sep 23, 21:40
The Match
Team News
West Ham United striker Gianluca Scamacca is named in Italy's starting lineup to face England at San Siro in their UEFA Nations League clash on Friday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Italy and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Friday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 5-2 Italy
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Germany | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Italy | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | England | 4 | -5 | 2 |
We said: Italy 1-1 England
Both Italy and England are a far cry from where they were at Euro 2020, so Southgate and Mancini ought to feel that their opposite number is there for the taking this week, and the hosts can play with the handbrake off given their lack of World Cup commitments. The Three Lions will likely be forced to pack their bags and prepare for life in League B should they fail to win at San Siro, but an out-of-sorts Azzurri are still a force to be reckoned with on home soil, and we can only envisage this one ending level. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for England had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Italy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | England |
42.71% ( -0.04) | 26.19% ( -0.06) | 31.1% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
