KNVB Beker
Dec 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniele Rugani 64' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Bakker 45'+2'

Ajax vs Telstar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Telstar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result

Ajax 79.87% (-0.34)
Draw 12.6% (+0.17)
Telstar 7.53% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.43% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.6% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 28.4% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 50.76% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 49.24% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 31.43% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 68.56% (+0.25)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 94.49% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 5.51% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 78.52% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 21.48% (+0.29)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5 55.48% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 44.51% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 19.46% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 80.54% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Ajax 79.87%
Draw 12.6%
Telstar 7.53%
Ajax
2-0 @ 10.3%
3-0 @ 9.96% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.22% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 5.84% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 4.18% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 3.39% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 79.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.75% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 12.6%
Telstar
1-2 @ 2.33% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 1.98% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 7.53%