MX23RW : Friday, January 17 18:07:58| >> :600:258260:258260:
Ajax
KNVB Beker | Second Round
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 0
Telstar

Rugani (64'), Akpom (86')
Fitz-Jim (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakker (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and Telstar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, December 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Telstar 3-0 Helmond
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

We said: Ajax 4-1 Telstar

While plenty of changes are expected by the hosts given the short turnaround to their next league game, we feel they will still have far too much firepower for their lower league opponents in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawTelstar
79.87% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34) 12.6% (0.169 0.17) 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.6% (-0.215 -0.22)28.4% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.76% (-0.265 -0.27)49.24% (0.262 0.26)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (-0.102 -0.1)5.51% (0.0989 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.52% (-0.291 -0.29)21.48% (0.288 0.29)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.246 0.25)44.51% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (0.2 0.2)80.54% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 79.87%
    Telstar 7.53%
    Draw 12.6%
AjaxDrawTelstar
2-0 @ 10.3%
3-0 @ 9.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.18% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 79.87%
1-1 @ 5.75% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.45% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 12.6%
1-2 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 7.53%

How you voted: Ajax vs Telstar

Ajax
86.8%
Draw
9.4%
Telstar
3.8%
53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!