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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
43.84% (![]() | 23.13% (![]() | 33.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.52% (![]() | 37.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.3% (![]() | 59.7% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% (![]() | 17.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% (![]() | 48.1% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% (![]() | 22.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.72% (![]() | 56.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 4% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 10.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.63% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |