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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.36%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
58.49% ( 0.01) | 21.55% ( 0) | 19.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.59% ( -0.02) | 41.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.19% ( -0.02) | 63.81% ( 0.02) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% ( -0) | 13.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( -0.01) | 41.27% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( -0.02) | 34.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% ( -0.03) | 71.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |