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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%).
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.99% | 23.41% | 23.6% |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.73% | 45.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% | 17.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.78% | 33.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.17% | 69.83% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.23% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |