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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 2
Al Raed

Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Leonardo (87'), Albulayhi (90+10')
Jesus (0'), Al Doseri (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Berkaoui (7'), Sobel (77')
Sayoud (39'), Sayoud (59'), Mitrovic (79'), Al Hawsawi (90+10'), Abeid (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Raed, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 30 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 0-1 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, November 30 at 1.20pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Raed

 While Al-Hilal have experienced an unusual dip in form since the November international break, their record at home is still incredible and they have not lost to this opponent in almost a decade. Additionally, Al Raed's away form this season does little to inspire confidence in their chances of pulling off an upset here, so we are going for the hosts to secure a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.07%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 3.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
88.07% (0.099999999999994 0.1) 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 3.61% (-0.1019 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.34% (-0.76599999999999 -0.77)24.66% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.53% (-1.015 -1.02)44.47% (1.012 1.01)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.45% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)3.55% (0.1031 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.61% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)15.38% (0.341 0.34)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.3% (-1.203 -1.2)54.7% (1.2 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.3% (-0.742 -0.74)87.7% (0.73899999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 88.06%
    Al Raed 3.61%
    Draw 8.32%
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
3-0 @ 12.03% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.36 0.36)
4-0 @ 10.05% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 6.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.27 0.27)
4-1 @ 6.06% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-1 @ 4.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
6-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-1 @ 2.25% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.105 -0.11)
7-0 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.081 -0.08)
7-1 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 88.06%
1-1 @ 3.91% (0.025 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.97% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 1.94% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 8.32%
1-2 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 3.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Raed

Al-Hilal
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Al Raed
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Raed
Mitrovic (3', 29' pen.), Koulibaly (52')
Michael (40'), Albulayhi (42'), Lodi (61'), Al-Faraj (90+2')
Sayoud (90+6')
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Raed
0-4
Al-Hilal

Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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