Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu
We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Hatayspor
With two of the lowest-scoring teams in the division going head-to-head, we expect a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we just about fancy Antalyaspor to carry the day come the sound of the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 61.87% . A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 16.64% .
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.28%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
Result Antalyaspor Draw Hatayspor 61.87% ( 1.34) 21.49% ( -0.37) 16.64% ( -0.97)
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.79)
53.57% ( -0.04) 46.42% ( 0.04)
31.29% ( -0.04) 68.71% ( 0.04)
85.54% ( 0.41) 14.46% ( -0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.58% ( 0.78) 42.42% ( -0.78)
58.85% ( -1.21) 41.14% ( 1.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.31% ( -1.09) 77.68% ( 1.09)
Antalyaspor 61.86%
Hatayspor 16.64%
Draw 21.48%
Antalyaspor Draw Hatayspor 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.86% 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.48% 0-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.64%
rhs 2.0
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