MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 05:53:40| >> :600:1613286:1613286:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Valerenga

Fox (2'), Foord (29'), Caldentey (85'), Russo (90+3')
Foord (67'), Codina (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tvedten (35')
Thorsnes (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Valerenga Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea103.33Reiten
2Brighton92.25Seike
3Spurs82.00Ahtinen
4Man City71.75Shaw
5Man Utd72.33Clinton
6Liverpool61.50Hobinger
7Arsenal41.00Maanum
8Aston Villa41.00Daly
9Crystal Palace20.50Blanchard
10West Ham20.50Denton
11Everton10.25
12Leicester10.25Rantala

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Valerenga Women

Arsenal may be short of confidence after failing to win any of their last three matches in all competitions, but they will still be favourites to get the better of Valerenga, and we think that they will live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
46.19% (0.201 0.2) 24.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 28.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.128 0.13)47.4% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.117 0.12)69.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.14 0.14)20.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.221 0.22)53.11% (-0.221 -0.22)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)30.13% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 46.19%
    Valerenga Women 28.95%
    Draw 24.85%
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Valerenga

Arsenal Women
80.9%
Draw
14.9%
Valerenga Women
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham197842825329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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