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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Bologna logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Bologna

Lookman (28')
Koopmeiners (14'), Holm (64'), Ederson (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zirkzee (57' pen.), Ferguson (61')
Posch (6'), Odgaard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Bologna

Expect a tight game between two well-drilled sides on Sunday evening, as Atalanta and Bologna are evenly matched in many respects. Both feature in this season's top three for Serie A goals after the 90th minute, so it may not truly be over until the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
65.53% (0.797 0.8) 20.3% (-0.124 -0.12) 14.17% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 48.34% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (-0.83300000000001 -0.83)46.08% (0.837 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (-0.792 -0.79)68.39% (0.79700000000001 0.8)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.24% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)40.01% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-1.47 -1.47)44.29% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-1.223 -1.22)80.36% (1.227 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 65.52%
    Bologna 14.17%
    Draw 20.3%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.4 0.4)
1-0 @ 11.85% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.08% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.129 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 65.52%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.3%
0-1 @ 4.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.17%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta BC
64.2%
Draw
19.8%
Bologna
16.0%
106
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-0
Atalanta
Ferguson (86')
Posch (30'), Freuler (70')

Piero Gasperini (26'), de Roon (69'), Zappacosta (79'), Hateboer (88'), Scamacca (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
0-2
Bologna
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
0-1
Atalanta
Cisse (82')
Demiral (66')
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna
Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')
Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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