Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Bologna
Expect a tight game between two well-drilled sides on Sunday evening, as Atalanta and Bologna are evenly matched in many respects. Both feature in this season's top three for Serie A goals after the 90th minute, so it may not truly be over until the final whistle.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 65.53% . A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.17% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.76%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.78%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood .
Result Atalanta BC Draw Bologna 65.53% ( 0.8) 20.3% ( -0.12) 14.17% ( -0.67)
Both teams to score 48.34% ( -1.29)
53.92% ( -0.83) 46.08% ( 0.84)
31.62% ( -0.79) 68.39% ( 0.8)
86.76% ( -0.02) 13.24% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.99% ( -0.05) 40.01% ( 0.05)
55.71% ( -1.47) 44.29% ( 1.47)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.64% ( -1.22) 80.36% ( 1.23)
Atalanta BC 65.52%
Bologna 14.17%
Draw 20.3%
Atalanta BC Draw Bologna 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.52% 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.3% 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.17%
How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna
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rhs 2.0
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