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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Botafogo logo

Junior
0 - 0
Botafogo


Herrera (19'), Fuentes (83'), Mena (88')
FT

Bastos (11'), Barboza (45+3')
Hernandez (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Junior and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

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Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Atletico Junior 1-2 Botafogo

 The arrival of Jorge has triggered a serious upturn in fortunes for Botafogo, who boast the tournament's most potent centre-forward in Santos and have hit a rich vein of form domestically and continentally. Atletico Junior have tended to keep their games close in Group D and should not deviate from that trend here, but it should be the Lone Star celebrating a narrow triumph at full time, one which will see them through in first place at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawBotafogo
39.62% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 27.92% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 32.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)58.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.08% (0.020999999999997 0.02)78.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.034000000000006 0.03)28.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.041000000000004 0.04)64.54% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.85% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 39.61%
    Botafogo 32.46%
    Draw 27.91%
Atletico JuniorDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Junior vs Botafogo

Atletico Junior
25.0%
Draw
31.3%
Botafogo
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Botafogo
1-3
Junior
Hugo (43')
Tiquinho (45+1'), Tche (90'), Santos (90+1')
Bacca (13' pen., 41'), Fuentes (28')
Pacheco (45+1'), Ceballos (75'), Albornoz (82')
rhs 2.0
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