We said: AVS 2-1 Nacional
Having secured promotion from the Segunda Liga, AVS and Nacional will both be looking to pick up a dream start to life in the big leagues. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, AVS's home advantage gives them a slight upper hand and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (7.68%).