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Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Centro de Formacao de Atletas TROPS
Universitario

Botafogo
3 - 1
Universitario

Eduardo (47', 90+2'), Henrique (57')
John (59'), Hugo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olivares (90+4')
Saravia (16'), Valera (45'), Perez (45+3'), Celi (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Junior 1-1 Universitario
Wednesday, April 10 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
58.77% (0.235 0.23) 23.89% (-0.081 -0.08) 17.33% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)54.83% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.062999999999999 0.06)76.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.114 0.11)18.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.194 0.19)49.63% (-0.193 -0.19)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (-0.147 -0.15)45.27% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.85% (-0.116 -0.12)81.15% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 58.76%
    Universitario 17.33%
    Draw 23.89%
BotafogoDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 14.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.33%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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