MX23RW : Thursday, December 5 02:09:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Nov 24, 2024 at 12pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
1 - 0
Man Utd

Reiten (17' pen.)
Cuthbert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tullis-Joyce (16'), Deman (30'), Clinton (40'), Bloodworth (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Celtic Women
Wednesday, November 20 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, November 17 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Manchester United Women

Chelsea have won eight of their nine WSL games against Man United, and after making a flawless start to the season, we believe that the hosts will do enough to claim all three points and condemn the Red Devils to their first defeat of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
49.66% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 24.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.76% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (0.093000000000004 0.09)48.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (0.084 0.08)70.46% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.073000000000008 0.07)19.48% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (0.12 0.12)51.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.04% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)69.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 49.67%
    Manchester United Women 25.76%
    Draw 24.57%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.67%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Man Utd

Chelsea Women
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Manchester United Women
6.3%
16
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Man Utd
0-6
Chelsea

Garcia (67')
Ramirez (2', 45+2'), Rytting-Kaneryd (8'), Nusken (44'), Leupolz (47'), Kirby (85')
Apr 14, 2024 2.35pm
Semi-Finals
Man Utd
2-1
Chelsea
Garcia (1'), Deman (23')
Turner (45+5'), Garcia (68'), Mannion (77'), Parris (78'), Earps (79')
James (45+4')
James (45+5')
Jan 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea
3-1
Man Utd
James (5', 23', 85')
Ladd (43')
Ladd (50'), Parris (76')
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Chelsea
1-0
Man Utd
Kerr (23')
rhs 2.0
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