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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 20, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
5 - 2
Spurs

Hamano (9'), Nilden (44' og.), Rytting-Kaneryd (70', 90+1'), Baltimore (74')
Baltimore (18'), Hampton (21'), Buchanan (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nilden (21'), Summanen (84')
Hunt (29'), Spence (76'), Thomas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Tottenham Hotspur Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente Women 1-3 Chelsea
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Spurs
Sunday, October 13 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur Women

Chelsea tend to fare well in meetings with Tottenham, and with the Blues full of confidence, we think that they will claim another head-to-head victory to maintain their 100% start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.19%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Women win it was 1-2 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Women
80.19% (-0.184 -0.18) 12.49% (0.179 0.18) 7.32% (0.0041000000000002 0)
Both teams to score 51.67% (-0.877 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.27% (-1.005 -1.01)28.73% (1.002 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.35% (-1.245 -1.25)49.65% (1.243 1.24)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.48% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)5.52% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.49% (-0.664 -0.66)21.5% (0.664 0.66)
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.793 -0.79)45.3% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.635 -0.63)81.17% (0.634 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 80.18%
    Tottenham Hotspur Women 7.32%
    Draw 12.49%
Chelsea WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Women
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.32 0.32)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.163 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 7.34% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.321 0.32)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 4.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 3.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
6-0 @ 2.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 80.18%
1-1 @ 5.73% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 12.49%
1-2 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 1.98% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 7.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Spurs

Chelsea Women
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tottenham Hotspur Women
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs
0-1
Chelsea
Hamano (37')
Carter (90+4')
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chelsea
2-1
Spurs
Fishel (28'), James (51')
Thomas (76')
Spence (30')
Feb 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Spurs
2-3
Chelsea
England (16'), Karczewska (88')
Carter (8'), James (27'), Reiten (64')
Nov 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea
3-0
Spurs
Kerr (12'), Cuthbert (26'), Reiten (36' pen.)
Apr 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea
2-1
Spurs
England (19'), Kerr (45+1')
Harrop (44')
Ayane (87'), Bartrip (88')
rhs 2.0
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