National League South | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow
Chesham1 - 3Hornchurch
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chesham 0-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesham United | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
44.4% ( 2.34) | 26.65% ( 0.07) | 28.94% ( -2.41) |
Both teams to score 49.87% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.28% ( -1.21) | 54.72% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% ( -1.01) | 76.04% ( 1.01) |
Chesham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( 0.64) | 24.51% ( -0.64) |