Belgian Super Cup | Final
Jul 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
We said: Club Brugge 2-1 Union SG
After a sensational comeback to win the title last term and a solid pre-season this year, Club Brugge will enter this contest with huge confidence in their chances to win back the Super Cup after relinquishing a three-season hold on it in the last edition.
This will be the first real test for Union's new head coach and summer arrivals, and we feel they will need a few more matches before they find top gear to challenge the Blauw-Zwart.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.63% . A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%) . The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood .
Result Club Brugge Draw Union SG 44.63% ( -3.31) 25.31% ( 0.2) 30.06% ( 3.11)
Both teams to score 54.66% ( 1.44)
51.2% ( 0.92) 48.8% ( -0.91)
29.1% ( 0.83) 70.9% ( -0.83)
78.15% ( -1.09) 21.85% ( 1.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.91% ( -1.68) 55.09% ( 1.69)
69.95% ( 2.78) 30.05% ( -2.78)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.82% ( 3.22) 66.18% ( -3.22)
Club Brugge 44.63%
Union SG 30.06%
Draw 25.31%
Club Brugge Draw Union SG 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.83) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.56) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.63% 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31% 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.33) Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.06%
How you voted: Brugge vs Union SG
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