Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Assane Diao 5' goal
  • Francesc Fabregas i Soler 41' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Espeto 44' goal
  • Edoardo Goldaniga 51' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Goldaniga 57' redcard
  • Jaka Bijol 78' goal
  • Nico Paz 90' goal
  • goal Martin Payero 50'
  • yellowcard Oumar Solet 59'
  • redcard Oumar Solet 63'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 81'
  • yellowcard Jaka Bijol 83'

Como vs Udinese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
Como 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 2.00pm
Udinese 0 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Lucca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result

Como 41.95% (+0.40)
Draw 27.44% (+0.31)
Udinese 30.61% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.37% (-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.97% (-1.36)
Under 2.5 57.03% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 22.08% (-1.09)
Under 3.5 77.92% (+1.10)
Over 4.5 9.56% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 90.44% (+0.67)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 73.18% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 26.82% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 37.89% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 62.11% (+0.55)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 66.1% (-1.21)
Under 0.5 33.9% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 29.43% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 70.57% (+1.34)

Score analysis

Como 41.95%
Draw 27.44%
Udinese 30.61%
Como
1-0 @ 11.96% (+0.48)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.87% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.45% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 41.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.09% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.44%
Udinese
0-1 @ 9.84% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
  • Brenner 43' goal
  • Jaka Bijol 68' yellowcard
  • Jordan Zemura 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jordan Zemura 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesc Fabregas i Soler 69'
  • yellowcard Francesc Fabregas i Soler 81'