Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese1 - 3Napoli
We said: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Napoli may drop more points, as a close-fought and cautious encounter could end all square. With neither side in fluent form, goals will be scarce, and a share of the points is set to leave Conte and co frustrated. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Napoli |
26.37% ( 0.34) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 47.86% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
