Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Como |
63.79% ( 0.2) | 20.84% ( -0.08) | 15.38% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.06% ( 0.12) | 45.95% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.75% ( 0.11) | 68.25% ( -0.1) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.28% ( 0.1) | 13.72% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.03% ( 0.19) | 40.97% ( -0.19) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.51% ( -0.09) | 42.5% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.14% ( -0.08) | 78.86% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Como |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 63.78% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.84% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |