Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Club America had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.