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Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Mazatlan

Uriel (84'), Ditta (90+1')
Piovi (45+4'), Anselmi (46'), Uriel (72')
Piovi (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Colula (40'), Joel Barcenas (45+1')
Almada (46'), Meraz (69'), Torres (90+4')
Mazatlan win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Cruz Azul and Mazatlan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: DC United 1-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Cruz Azul 2-1 Mazatlan

Cruz Azul have dominated this fixture to a large extent and will back themselves to get the job done on home turf. While we expect Mazatlan to pose a stern test, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors to make it through to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawMazatlan
61.95% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 20.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 17.7% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.41% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.165 -0.16)39.47% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.172 -0.17)61.82% (0.171 0.17)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)12.24% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.04% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)37.96% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)35.71% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-0.196 -0.2)72.49% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 61.95%
    Mazatlan 17.7%
    Draw 20.35%
Cruz AzulDrawMazatlan
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 17.7%

Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 4am
Gameweek 1
Cruz Azul
1-0
Mazatlan
Gamboa (90+5')
Ditta (39'), Piovi (72'), Garcia (87'), Garcia (87')
Candido (75')

Arciga (90+6')
Jan 27, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 3
Cruz Azul
2-1
Mazatlan
Fernandez (16'), Sepulveda (45+6')
Faravelli (61'), Uriel (64')
Del Prete (10')
Diaz (55'), Rubio (57')
Esquivel (41')
Sep 16, 2023 1.50am
Gameweek 8
Mazatlan
2-2
Cruz Azul
Benedetti (14' pen.), Colula (39')
Colula (30'), Esquivel (90+6')
Cambindo (48', 90+2')
Gudino (12'), Guerrero (54'), Rotondi (74'), Escobar (90+5'), Rivero (90+5')
Mar 4, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Mazatlan
3-1
Cruz Azul
Alanis (45+3'), Meraz (51'), Almada (57')
Uriel (17')
Sep 11, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 14
Cruz Azul
2-0
Mazatlan
Carneiro (21'), Romero (45+7' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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