NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Dec 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stangmore Park
Larne

Dungannon
0 - 1
Larne


Alves (71'), McGinty (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Randall (51')
Ryan (85'), Ferguson (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Dungannon vs. Portadown
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Glentoran
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Next Game: Crusaders vs. Larne
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 49%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawLarne
49% (-0.213 -0.21)24.11% (0.226 0.23)26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.779 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-1.022 -1.02)45.45% (1.018 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.983 -0.98)67.78% (0.97999999999999 0.98)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.479 -0.48)18.63% (0.476 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-0.809 -0.81)49.94% (0.806 0.81)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.548 -0.55)30.63% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)66.88% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 49%
    Larne 26.89%
    Draw 24.1%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawLarne
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.192 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 26.89%

How you voted: Dungannon vs Larne

Dungannon Swifts
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Larne
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 2pm
gameweek 11
Larne
0-3
Dungannon

Graham (72')
Knowles (16'), McGovern (54'), Glenny (84')
Knowles (71')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Dungannon
0-2
Larne

Moore (62'), Devine (73')
Millar (42'), Scott (45+1' og.)
Gallagher (27')
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Dungannon
0-0
Larne
McGee (26')
McGee (23'), Glenny (55'), Knowles (65'), Whiteside (76'), Whiteside (76')
McGee (65')

Bolger (45+2'), Farquhar (55')
Aug 7, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Larne
4-4
Dungannon
Cosgrove (29'), Sloan (51'), Ryan (77'), Bonis (80')
Want (90+1')
Moore (35'), Gallagher (84'), Galvin (89'), Whiteside (90+5')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 28
Dungannon
0-3
Larne
O'Neill (47' pen.), Thomson (64'), Ryan (75')